Favourite For The Arc

Who will start favourite for the Arc? If you knew the answer you could secure a nice profit before the race even began. And i think i have a pretty good bet to get things off to a winning start.

The long time antepost favourite is the French mare Sarafina. She has been at the head of the market since the retirement of Pour Moi through injury. Second on the list is the Aidan O'Brien trained So You Think. He has been right at the top of affairs since he was confirmed on target for the race. At the moment the bookies bet around 7/2 for Sarafina and 4/1 for So You Think. Both are likely to be well suited to the drying conditions, which cannot be said for their nearest market rivals, Galikova and Workforce at 7/1. So to my eye a bet on either Sarafina or So You Think being favourite come the off is looking pretty strong.

In the 'name the favourite' markets Victor Chandler bet 5/4 on Sarafina and 11/8 on So You Think with Paddy Power offering just 4/5 on Sarafina but a tasty 13/8 about So You Think. With that in mind i think the bet here is to take the 5/4 offered by Victor Chandler on Sarafina and the 13/8 for So You Think from Paddy Power to guarantee a nice profit. A £100 bet on both outcomes will yield a profit of £25 if Sarafina starts favourite and £62.50 should So You Think eclipse her at the head of the market. And you'll be looking at a £200 loss if they both lose their positions! But i think that is a very unlikely scenario given the current conditions. The one potential sticking point is if both are drawn exceptionally poorly. This would be particularly unfortunate but i still think they are likely to remain at the head of the bookies boards when the gates open on Sunday afternoon. You could obviously 'Dutch' them to equalise your profit whatever the outcome.

Name the Favourite Market:

5/4 Sarafina with Victor Chandler

13/8 So You Think with Paddy Power